Here’s my look at the NFL as we’re about to ramp up to the new season. Within the next few days I’ll be adding Red Zone channel back to the cable lineup, or maybe even switching over the DirecTV, which would give me every NFL game. How awesome is it that they don’t charge extra for that now? For me that’s a huge, huge selling point, not to mention that Comcast is way overpriced.
So, here we go. This is how I see the league, from team 32 to 1. Put aside some time, you’re going to be here for a while, and you’re going to want to click the links … trust me.
Just Ugly Group
32. Carolina Panthers: If they win 2 games I’ll be surprised. Cam Newton might — might — be a good NFL quarterback some day, but he is far from ready. He’ll make the occasional play with his legs, but they are in for one very, very ugly season in Carolina.
31. Cincinnati: If Carson Palmer were still in town I’d say that the Bengals were going to suck. Without him they’ll be starting Andy Dalton. Wait. Who? On a side note, imagine to have to sit through last week’s Cincy-Carolina preseason game. Isn’t that one of the outer rings of hell?
30. Washington Redskins: Are you noticing a pattern here? If you don’t have a good quarterback, your team is going to be pretty bad. Rex Grossman or John Beck, doesn’t matter, they’ll be awful.
29. Miami Dolphins: Tony Sparano looks like a castoff from the Sopranos, which is appropriate because he very well could get whacked from his job before the season’s end. The quarterback is Chad Henne, which says a lot, and none of it is good. Reggie Bush will be the No. 1 tailback to start the year, until he is broken in a heap somewhere around week 3. Daniel Thomas was supposed to be the back of the future, but word out of Miami is that he looks “confused.”
It Could Be Worse Group
28. Minnesota Vikings: When you’ve got football’s best running back you’ve always got a chance, and the Vikes have that in Adrian Peterson. They don’t have a whole lot else, though. Donovan McNabb is hoping to get his groove back, but it’s doubtful he’ll find it consistently. The defense isn’t very good either. At least the roof is fixed.
27. Denver Broncos: It’s funny how much was made out of the Orton-Tebow thing this summer. I think Tim Tebow is a wonderful human being, but unfortunately he throws like he has a broken elbow and can’t run their whole playbook. Denver’s D isn’t very good either.
26. Cleveland Browns: If nothing else, at least they have the Madden12 cover to enjoy. I was already going to stay away from Peyton Hillis for fantasy football this year, but with the jinx now on him I’m expecting every ligament in his body to explode on the third snap of the first game.
25. Jacksonville Jaguars: One of my best friends in the world, the great and powerful Ando, is a huge Jax fan. We were talking football on Wednesday night and he admitted the Jags are going to suck. This is a guy that came to town and wanted to fight the entire crowd at The Fours during the Jacksonville-Pats playoff game a few years back. I saved him that day, but no one can save the Jags this season.
24. Buffalo Bills: Here’s the thing about the Bills, they will at least be entertaining. They can’t play defense, but with Fitzpatrick hucking it and Stevie Johnson hauling in passes, they’ll be in a lot of games that hit the over number.
Aiming For Mediocrity Group
23. San Francisco 49ers: What do you get when you combine a potentially schizo wide receiver with a noodle-armed quarterback and an injury prone running back? Ladies and gentlemen, your 2011 49ers.
22. Tennessee Titans: The good news is that Chris Johnson holding fantasy football players hostage for the entire preseason is finally over, he’s signed a huge deal and will probably be good to go for the season opener. The bad news is that he’ll probably pop a hammy in game one and have a bad season. Missing all of training camp just can’t be good. They have a chance to be a playoff team, but seem like a 6-10 season waiting to happen, and if Hasselbeck gets hurt, they could be really bad.
21. Houston Texans: Houston and Tennessee are forever linked by their shared history, and this year they look like mirrors. Each has a diva running back that very well could regress this season. Each has a quarterback that seems to be held together with bailing wire. Houston does have a stud wide out, and a slightly better defense. I’m not sold on them though. They finish 8-8 0r 7-9 seemingly every year, so this spot seems about right for them.
20. Seattle Seahawks: I’m going to be honest, I’m confused by the crows, who have always been my second favorite NFL team, just ask Eagle One, he’ll remember that awesome Curt Warner jersey I had in college. Somehow this team not only made the playoffs, at 7-9 last year, but knocked off New Orleans in the wild card round. But, and this but is bigger than a Kardashian, they now feature Tavaris Jackson behind center. If he’s okay, they could make a run, especially in a bad division, but I just don’t think that they’re very good, and Pete Carroll is not a good pro coach. He’ll be tuned out sooner rather than later.
Hmmm, maybe Group
19. Arizona Cardinals: The Cards could be this year’s Seahawks. The NFC West is winnable for them, though they’re not the favorites, but with some luck and a good year from newcomer Kevin Kolb, who certainly feels like he has something to prove, Arizona is a sleeper. Let’s keep an eye on them.
18. Indianapolis Colts: Indy plays in arguably the worst division in the NFL, with all apologies to the NFC West. The AFC South is three laughingstocks and then the Colts. They’ve got at least 5 division wins in the bag, but the signs are pointing to an Indy decline. Peyton Manning couldn’t even turn his head two weeks ago, and now he’s ready for week 1? I’m dubious. Part of this could be just me rooting for them to finally fall apart. They’ll make the playoffs, I think, because of the division, but we’re looking at a 9-7 team here.
17. New York Giants: Who’s the better Manning? Tough call. Eli is only completing around 50-percent of his passes in the preseason. Hakim Nicks helped guys like me have great fantasy football seasons a year ago, but he’s going to be doubled consistently this year. Really, it’s all on Eli. If he straightens things out, they’re in the top 10, but right now they look like they miss the postseason to me.
Trying To Crash The Party Group
16. Chicago Bears: Da Bears always have a shot with that defense. They hit, they play hard and they don’t let teams run the ball. However with Jay Cutler‘s winning personality running the team they also know how to keep things closer than they should be. I see some regression from a year ago, but they’re in the mix.
15. Kansas City Chiefs: You know that Snickers’ commercial where the guy screws up the end zone painting? Great googly moogly I loved that spot. The Chiefs had a good season last year, but an easy schedule. This year, the slate’s a lot tougher. They do possess the league’s biggest home run threat, in Jamaal Charles, but Coach Haley doesn’t give him enough touches if you ask me. I think by week 4 or 5 we’ll know who they are, for now let’s say they’re a slightly above average team.
14. Oakland Raiders: Here’s my guess for the team that surprises everyone and makes a run at the playoffs. Run DMC and Mike Bush are a great running back tandem that could average well over 175-yards per game between them. If Jason Campbell is serviceable — I know, a big if — they’ve got a chance to really make some noise. The defense took a hit by losing Namdi, but for now I’m on the bandwagon, but my seat is definitely on the aisle near an exit.
13. Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens don’t seem to age. They don’t seem to regress. They don’t seem to get better either. It’s as if that team is stuck in place. They’ll be good on defense, mediocre on offense, and a wild card team. Remind me to cut and paste that graph for the 2012 preview.
12. St. Louis Rams: Quick, off the top of your head tell me who the Rams leading receiver will be this year. Time’s up. Don’t worry, I don’t know either, and neither does anyone else. Sam Bradford reminds me of a young Tom Brady. He makes good decisions, has the tools to make all of the throws and doesn’t make a lot of mistakes. He spreads it around all over the place. The Rams are on the rise and I think they win the NFC West. Oh, and my money’s on Danny Amendola to become a Welker clone.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: One of the big reasons I won the office picks pool a year ago was I was the only one around these parts that realized that Tampa no longer sucked. Josh Freeman is a good QB, he’s not great, but he’s good. When Legarrette Blount isn’t sucker-punching linemen, he’s pretty good too. The Bucs biggest problem is that they are in perhaps the toughest division in the league, with New Orleans and Atlanta. By the way, I have a prop bet with Timmy Ankle Tape where I have Freeman besting Matt Ryan in fantasy points for the year. A cup of Starbucks is on the line.
10. New York Jets: At least Mark Sanchez always makes things interesting for Jets fans. He’s not a top 15 quarterback, but he’s got weapons all around him. The Jets are clearly one of the better AFC teams, but not as good as the Pats, which has Rex Ryan calling out the rest of the league to take it to his rivals.
Pretty Close Group
9. Detroit Lions: Ah, America’s Team. When the Lions were at their worst, 2 years ago, Rye and I adopted the Lions as the team we always root for other than the Pats. What’s not to love? They’ve got cool unis, nice colors, Megatron, a great young defense and an up-and-coming quarterback. Two years from now I think they’ll be very close to the top of these rankings. Right now they’re definitely feisty and interesting.
8. Dallas Cowboys: I really have never cared for the Cowboys at all. They’re the Yankees of football, but as much as I dislike them, this year I respect them. If Tony Romo truly is healthy they could make a legitimate Super Bowl run. Now that he no longer has to carry bags against his will for veterans, word out of Big D is that Dez Bryant looks like a superstar. Also, coming out of Dallas this fall will be potentially my new favorite TV show.
7. Atlanta Falcons: Last year the Falcons went 13-3, but fizzled in the playoffs against the Packers. They bring back all of the key players from last year’s awesome season, with Matty Ice having gained a year of experience. They’re in the conversation, and with new stud receiver Julio Jones joining superstar Roddy White, the should be a lot of fun to watch.
6. San Diego Chargers: Imagine if San Diego didn’t always get off to a slow start. Now imagine if they had a good coach. Wow, that’d be one awesome football team. Well, they’re still stuck with this guy, but other than they’ve got a lot going for them. Phil Rivers is going to put up huge numbers, especially with Vincent Jackson around for the whole year. SD is close to being in the next group.
Playoff Reservations Already Made
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: Alright, I admit it, the Steelers are good. I hate them, but they’re good and if the offensive line holds up, they’ve got a great chance to return to the Super Bowl (wasn’t it fun watching them lose last year). Of course, they need Big Ben to stay on the straight and narrow, and upright.
4. New Orleans Saints: Somehow the Saints seem to fly under the radar this year. They’re going to be fun to watch again, and with rookie Mark Ingram joining in on the fun, they’ve got a new weapon to add to Drew Brees’ arsenal.
3. New England Patriots: Let’s be honest, the regular season matters not. Playoffs are what matter. I’m sorry if I’m sounding like Yoda, but after last season’s great regular season and playoff meltdown, I’m only going to judge this team by how it performs from January on (even if that meltdown did give us one of the best wrestling promos of all-time). They’re good, they’re healthy, the D-line looks awesome, they’ve got Brady, what else do you need to know.
2. Green Bay Packers: If things had broke a little differently in December, the Pack would have missed the playoffs. Instead, they got in and made a great run which led to this. Funny thing is, they look even better now than they did then. Rodgers is legit, and perhaps the best QB in the game right now. Jermichael Finley is back. The defense is solid. They’ve got two solid running backs. The sky’s the limit for the defending champs.
1. Philadelphia Eagles: Following in the footsteps of the Phillies, the Iggles are attempting to add as many stars as possible and make a run right now. It all comes down to Mike Vick. If he’s healthy, and plays well, they’re nearly unstoppable, especially with all of the weapons around him. They’re my pick to win it all, well at least right now. Pat thinks so too.