A year ago, the chances of Governor Deval L. Patrick seeing a second term in office were on par with the chances of Stephen Hawking winning a battle rap against Eminem.
But the latest Rasmussen Reports poll suggests Gov. Patrick is experiencing a major renaissance. The poll results, released last week, showed that 45 percent of those surveyed would vote for Gov. Patrick, 31 percent would back Republican Charles D. Baker Jr., 14 percent would vote for unenrolled candidate Timothy P. Cahill, and 10 percent would stare at the ballot blankly.
The previous poll had Gov. Patrick winning the three-way race with 35 percent support to Mr. Baker’s 27 percent and Mr. Cahill’s 23 percent, respectively (no, they don’t really pay any attention to Green-Rainbow candidate Dr. Jill E. Stein).
Obviously Cahill is the one bleeding supporters here, so one could infer that the GOP’s tactic of hammering away at him instead of the incumbent, an effort to short-circuit the dreaded “spoiler” effect, is having the desired result.
But let’s not forget that at the time of the previous poll Christy P. Mihos had not yet been bumped out of the Republican primary, so Mr. Baker’s improved showing could be an artificial bump from die-hard Republicans jumping, lemming-like, to the only other available Republican. It’ll be interesting to see if he experiences a dip in the next poll.
On another gubernatorial note, the Boston Herald revealed last week that Mr. Baker has shelled out about $200,000 on events and gimmicky attractions at said events. On the list were things like mechanical bulls and an inflatable jousting arena (no, that is not a joke).
Supporters say such bells and whistles draw attention to the Baker campaign and increase his name recognition, but you know what else does that? Getting out on the streets and meeting people.
Charlie. Bubbi. I like you. I do. I’m hopeful for a solid showing from you, but for the love of all creatures great and small, don’t Coakley your campaign!
(Coakley (KOKE-lee, verb): 1) To squander positive gains already achieved, particularly in the context of a political campaign; 2) To rapidly lose a previously strong base of supporters through inaction or ill-advised action. Synonyms: Bungle, botch, blow, muff, fumble, bobble, Howard Dean.)
That said, Baker has launched his version of “Got Milk?”: the (rather cynically titled) “Had Enough?” campaign, which will take Mr. Baker across the state to meet with voters and tap their discontent with the current State House leadership. Go to www.masshadenough.com to go to…well, another page on Baker’s main campaign website.
If he’s to be believed, Joseph D. Malone is going to become a regular presence on Cape Cod as he tries to undermine State Representative Jeffrey D. Perry’s (R – Sandwich) natural hometown support base. Mr. Malone was in Falmouth last week visiting local businesses, and in a brief interview he said he planned to engage in a great deal of grass roots campaigning in the region.
On another note, Mr. Malone has at last managed to pick up an endorsement from someone still in politics: California Congressman Kevin McCarthy (R), the House Republican Chief Deputy Whip. Yeah, he had to go to the West Coast for this one.
Mr. Malone’s name has also popped up on the list of prospects for the National Republican Congressional Committee’s “Young Guns” candidate recruitment, training and support program. He has “on the radar” status, which means his candidacy is viable and he’s not about to drop out of sight anytime soon.
Speaking of the Congressional race, this week Rep. Perry picked up an endorsement from James M. Cummings, Barnstable County Sheriff.
“Based on his legislative work, public safety experience, character and positions on the issues, I am proud to announce my formal endorsement of Jeff Perry for Congress,” the sheriff said. “Jeff is the right person to represent us all in Congress.”
I can’t help but notice the timing here. Last week the Scott Flanagan case was getting dragged out into the light of day again, and this week the region’s top law enforcement agent publicly praises Rep. Perry. This may mitigate some of the local damage from the revived Flanagan mess, since Sheriff Cummings has a solid reputation on Cape Cod (among folks in both parties, I must add).
One more word on this race, which I’ll stick under the header, “Ah, THIS old tactic…”
The tactic: a call for incessant debating. The tactician: State Senator Robert A. O’Leary (D – Barnstable), who is asking supporters to back his call for debates with fellow Dem William R. Keating in all 41 towns in the 10th Congressional District before the September primary.
I just hope Sen. O’Leary doesn’t fall back on the traditional Part Two of this tactic, wherein he accuses his rival of ducking the issues/voters by refusing to heed his call. I don’t see O’Leary as that kind of candidate, but this is already a weird anything-can-happen election season…
Also, Sen. O’Leary is inviting the public to the official campaign headquarters grand opening tomorrow at 10 AM. His HQ is at 45 Barnstable Road in Hyannis.
Speaking of Mr. Keating, he’s FINALLY launched his campaign website! Go to www.billkeating2010.com and poke around.
And then there’s Stephen Murphy, Democratic candidate for state treasurer, who almost has his site up. He’s got a placeholder page up at www.murphyfortreasurer.com so bookmark it now and check back later.
If anyone tried to go to State Representative Matthew C. Patrick’s (D – Falmouth) website last week and found it mysteriously MIA, it’s back up. The domain name briefly lapsed, but now www.mattpatrick.org is back up and running.
Event reminders: F. Randal Hunt, Republican candidate for State Representative of the Fifth Barnstable District, has two fundraisers coming up: Friday, June 4 at the Tao Water Art Gallery on Route 6A in Barnstable, from 6 to 8 PM; and a Cape Cod clambake at the West Barnstable Deer Club on Saturday, July 31 from 4 to 7 PM.
State Representative Susan D. William Gifford (R – Wareham) is holding a campaign event at the Bay Pointe Country Club in Onset on Wednesday from 6 to 8:30 PM, and you can attend for a suggested donation of $25. Today is your last day to RSVP by calling 508-295-5999.
Political news and announcements may be sent to Michael Bailey, Region editor and senior political reporter, at firstname.lastname@example.org
Tags: 10th Congressional district, 2010 election, Charlie Baker, Christy Mihos, Governor Deval Patrick, Jeff Perry, Jill Stein, Jim Cummings, Joe Malone, Martha Coakley, Massachusetts Legislature, Matt Patrick, Randy Hunt, Rob O'Leary, State Representative - 3rd Barnstable, Susan Williams Gifford, Tim Cahill, William Keating
The views and opinions in the Enterprise blogs are those of the author and are not neccessarily shared by Falmouth Publishing.