Snark-Infested Waters by Mike Bailey

Snark-Infested Waters by Mike Bailey

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The Week In Politics – April 13, 2012

April 13th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

It’s time for my first “We hardly knew ye” lament of the election season.

Democrat James C. King, an attorney from Dover, recently announced that he was dropping out of the US Senate race and formally endorsing Elizabeth Warren. Yes, nothing influences voters more than an endorsement from a candidate they never heard of.

***

On the flip side, we have a new candidate jumping into the race for the Ninth Congressional District: attorney Daniel Botelho of Fall River is running as a non-party candidate. Learn more about him through his Facebook page or his WordPress blog.

Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

The Importometer Reading For April 6, 2012

April 6th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

10 ) Rick Santorum refuses to drop out of the GOP primary after Mitt Romney’s Tuesday sweep. Self-destruction has never been so fun.

9 ) Former state treasurer Tim Cahill is indicted amidst allegations he misused Lottery funds to bolster his flagging gubernatorial campaign. Another sad case of someone thinking the Lottery will solve all their problems.

8 ) Falmouth Town Meeting voters take contradictory votes on whether to keep the town-owned wind turbines spinning following two nights of debate. Well, glad we could solve that problem once and for all…

7 ) The Big Dig lives on as the state gets ready to undertake $54 million in light replacement surgery in the tunnels. Oh, just rebuild the entire damn thing already! It’ll be cheaper in the long run.

6 ) Sarah Palin swallows her disdain for the “lamestream” media to co-host the Today show. Lesson learned: pride takes second place to a paycheck and bolstering your ego.

5 ) County commissioner candidate Ron Beaty splits hairs over how the Special Commission on County Governance was created. With that kind of skill at creatively interpreting select and incomplete pieces of information, this guy should be running for a federal office.

4 ) James Cameron tweaks “Titanic” after Neil deGrasse Tyson points out inaccurate constellations in the night sky during the climactic sinking scene. Next, Neil plans to fix the first three chapters of the “Star Wars” saga by showing George Lucas all the errors in plotting, dialogue, and characterization (could take a while).

3 ) Keith Olbermann admits he “screwed up” and deserved getting fired from his Current TV gig. Let him tell you more about it in a long-winded, self-righteous monologue.

2 ) A Bellingham school powers to public pressure to restore the word “God” to the lyrics of “God Bless the USA.” It was inevitable, really “Elmo Bless the USA” just doesn’t have the same ring.

1 ) Jaleel “Urkel” White denies that he blew up at his “Dancing With the Stars” partner backstage. Wow, and I thought after starring in “Mega Shark vs. Crocasaurus” he couldn’t sink any lower.

The Week In Politics – April 6, 2012

April 6th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

It looks like Oliver P. Cipollini Jr. is coming back for his third shot at governor’s council of the first district.

The Marstons Mills Democrat has confirmed that he is running for the seat he ran for unsuccessfully in 2008 and in 2010, making him the third Democrat to throw his hat into the ring, along with Walter Moniz of New Bedford and Nicholas D. Bernier of Swansea.

The incumbent, Republican Charles O. Cipollini of Fall River — Oliver Cipollini’s older brother — is at present a “probable candidate” for re-election.

For those of you who might have forgotten, Charles won an unusual race that pitted him against his brother. The two men frequently campaigned together, and throughout his run, Charles openly declared that he didn’t really want to win and would prefer it if voters supported Oliver.

Charles’ tenure has been equally colorful. He questioned Supreme Judicial Court nominee Barbara Lenk’s capacity for impartiality on same-sex marriage issues in light of the fact she is a lesbian; asked SJC nominee Fernande R.V. Duffly during his confirmation hearing his thoughts on polygamy and communal living; and, commenting on Governor Deval L. Patrick’s efforts to expand the diversity of the SJC, wondered aloud how long it would take the governor to “nominate an illegal” (as in illegal immigrant).

His supporters regard Charles as a breath of fresh air and a change of pace from the (real or imagined) rubber-stamp nature of the governor’s council, while his detractors view him as a disruptive presence on the council.

Whether Charles will run again is a topic for another day, but if he does, voters could be looking at a repeat of the brother-versus-brother non-race of 2010. They can do better than that.

***

Sandwich Democrat R. Patrick Ellis this week officially kicked off his campaign for State Representative of the Fifth Barnstable District. John Walsh, chairman of the Massachusetts Democratic Party, joined Mr. Ellis and his supporters for the campaign launch event, held last night at Hemisphere in Sandwich.

Mr. Ellis is currently the lone challenger to State Representative Randy Hunt (R – Sandwich), who is running for a second term.

Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

The Week In Politics – March 30, 2012

March 30th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

After suspending his candidacy for Barnstable County Board of County Commissioners earlier this month, citing a health scare, Ronald R. Beaty Jr. of Barnstable is back in the running – and, perhaps, then some.

Last Friday Mr. Beaty issued a press release announcing that he was back in the race. A day later, in a highly unorthodox move, he issued a second release formally endorsing fellow candidate Eric R. Steinhilber – one of his potential opponents in the November primary.

But the oddest turn came a few days before Mr. Beaty re-entered the race, when he sent out a copy of an e-mail from Norah K. Mallam, staff attorney with the Massachusetts Ethics Commission, saying, basically, that there is nothing in the state’s conflict of interests law that would prevent him from simultaneously holding seats on both the board of county commissioners and the assembly.

“The conflict of interest law will not prohibit you from running for and holding two elected positions in the same county,” Ms. Mallam said, but she added that were Mr. Beaty to achieve this feat, he would have to exercise extreme diligence in avoiding instances when a vote as a member of one body has a direct impact on his role with the other.

“For example, if a matter comes before you as the Barnstable County Commissioner involving the amount of compensation that members of the County Assembly of Delegates should receive,” she wrote, “then you would be prohibited from participating in that matter as a Commissioner.”

Mr. Beaty has not made any public statements indicating he does indeed plan to run for both seats, and my advice is to keep it that way. Pick one race and commit to running it.

***

Which is exactly what Andrew Putnam plans to do — if he runs at all, that is.

The Falmouth resident announced this week that he is “strongly considering a run for both the Assembly of Delegates and (for) County Commissioner at this time. I will be announcing on Wednesday, April 11th whether I will run for one of the offices or none at all.”

Here’s hoping that he does run for something. I’m a big fan of giving voters choices and making incumbents work for their re-election.

***

On a related note, the aforementioned Mr. Steinhilber has formally launched his campaign for county commissioner. He held his kick-off event last Saturday in Hyannis.

Notably, both Mr. Steinhilber and Mr. Beaty are going after one of the same targets: the regional wastewater authority proposed by the Special Commission on County Governance – and both men are jumping the gun quite a bit by acting like this authority is a done deal, which it is not.

“Is it the proper role of the County or its newly created authority to have taxation powers to potentially impose billions in new taxes and fees on the already overtaxed, over worked people of Cape Cod?” Mr. Steinhilber remarked at his event, while Mr. Beaty warned that “an autonomous authority would unilaterally seize specific decision-making, fee imposition and taxation powers from the 15 municipalities of Cape Cod regarding wastewater infrastructure issues and/or services. Wastewater/sewer rates and relevant taxes would incessantly go up year after year.”

Readers, be clear on an important point here: no authority has actually been created and none of the details, from its administrative structure to its method of raising revenue, have been sketched out. The special commission made a recommendation, and the county commissioners voted to explore the concept – not to create an authority, not even to endorse the proposal, simply to look into it.

Mr. Beaty and Mr. Steinhilber are straying into the realm of fearmongering, which might make for good campaign sound bites but it also hampers a serious, honest discussion about what is undeniably a thorny issue for all of Cape Cod. They need to dial down the rhetoric and stick to the facts.

For a more in-depth analysis of this issue, check out this installation of Fact-Check Theater.

***

Finally, another Democrat has entered the race for US Senate: Eno Mondésir, a public health practitioner, self-published author, and ordained minister from Randolph.

Learn more about the candidate at his official website, and don’t be surprised if that’s the only place you can learn more about him. Mr. Mondésir is one of three Democrats who isn’t Elizabeth Warren, and if you’re not Elizabeth Warren, you’re as good as invisible to the big city media.

Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

The Importometer Reading For March 30, 2012

March 30th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

10 ) Rick Santorum wins another Deep South state primary but remains behind in the delegate count. The candidates now head to Wisconsin, which will prove as utterly indecisive in anyone’s campaign as any of the other states have.

9 ) Geraldo Rivera’s remark about a hoodie playing a role in Trayvon Martin’s murder sparks a nationwide backlash. People! Don’t you know that Geraldo is right? All kinds of dangerous people wear hoodies! Convenience store robbers, the Unabomber, D.B. Cooper…and just look at how menacing this dude is:

8 ) The MBTA announces a 23 percent rate hike that is expected to reduce ridership by 5.5 percent…which will reduce revenue, which will force another rate hike, which will reduce ridership…oh hell, just shut the trains down now.

7 ) Newt Gingrich fires a third of his campaign staff. I guess he’s so confident of winning the nomination, he decided he doesn’t need superfluous people like a campaign manager.

6 ) Rick Santorum declares that if Romney wins the GOP nomination, people might as well vote for Obama. At last! Rick Santorum says something sensible!

5 ) Dick Cheney undergoes a heart transplant procedure, prompting every liberal pundit and comedian in the world to make the exact same joke.

4 ) Rob Gronkowski surprises customers of a Foxboro Dunkin Donuts by serving them at the drive-through, proving that the economy is hitting all of us hard.

3 ) “The Hunger Games” smashes box office records. Who knew a movie about kids fighting to the death would be so popular? Oh, right: the Japanese, when they released “Battle Royale” 12 years ago.

2 ) A teaser trailer for the trailer for the second “Twilight: Breaking Dawn” movie hits the ‘net. And, amazingly, contains more story than the actual movie.

1 ) A nearly destitute Nadya “Octomom” Suleman posses nearly nude for a British men’s magazine, bragging about her body and her parenting skills. Apparently, though, not about her firm grasp on reality.

Fact-Check Theater: The Cape Cod Wastewater Authority

March 28th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

It’s looking like we have our first hot-button issue of the year for the county-level campaigns: the Cape Cod Regional Wastewater Authority.

Various parties have emerged to roundly curse this proposal, and two candidates for the Barnstable County Board of County Commissioners — Ronald R. Beaty Jr. and Eric R. Steinhilber, both of Barnstable — have voiced their staunch opposition to the concept.

In a speech delivered at his recent campaign kick-off, Mr. Steinhilber said this:

“Is it the proper role of the County to create a massive new government authority, an MWRA for the Cape, to take over all aspects of our water and sewer systems when other environmentally sound, cost-effective solutions exist? Is it the proper role of the County or its newly created authority to have taxation powers to potentially impose billions in new taxes and fees on the already overtaxed, over worked people of Cape Cod?”

And Mr. Beaty has made several unfavorable public comments about the authority, most recently in an op-ed piece entitled “A Cape Cod regional sewer authority…or an idea that stinks of a power grab?”:

When considering the creation of an independent, taxpayer funded, unaccountable & bureaucratic Cape Cod Regional Wastewater Authority, along with its hugely expensive large scale centralized wastewater processing facilities, Cape Codders need to be honestly informed that these are not the only choices available to them and their respective municipalities.

So, just how badly is the Cape Cod Wastewater Authority going to screw taxpayers? How much of a bureaucratic nightmare is it going to be?

That’s a tough question to answer considering that the authority, despite Mr. Steinhilber’s claim, does not exist — and might never exist.

The “Cape Cod Wastewater Authority” entered the region’s consciousness during a series of meetings held between October 2011 and February 2012 by the Special Commission on County Governance, a 26-member group formed through a directive by the county commissioners. The group’s charge was to examine the current state of county government, in all aspects, and submit recommendations for how to improve county functions.

The final report, released last week and available online, lists wastewater as its second topic, and the formal recommendation is, in full:

Recommendation: We strongly and unanimously recommend that the Barnstable County Commissioners, working with the Cape Cod legislative delegation through an open and public process, seek special legislation establishing the Cape Cod Wastewater District. The Commissioners should charge the Executive Director of the Cape Cod Commission and the Executive Director of the Cape Cod Water Protection Collaborative with developing recommendations on the structure, powers, and funding mechanisms of the District.

The recommendation also comes with five additional points of recommended consideration. Among them: whether the district (not “authority”) should be separate, independent entity and not part of county government proper; and the development of “fair, broad-based funding mechanisms that take into account funds already invested by towns on infrastructure that could assist regional solutions.”

The county commissioners, at their February 29, well in advance of the official submission of the final report, heeded one part of the recommendation and charged Andrew Gottlieb and Paul J. Niedzwiecki, executive directors of, respectively, the Cape Cod Water Protection Collaborative and the Cape Cod Commission, with conducting a formal exploration of the concept.

To repeat: the commissioners approved exploring the concept; they did not approve the creation of a regional wastewater authority, and by extension, did not approve a formal administrative structure, a funding mechanism, or a plan to address wastewater needs on a regional basis — nor did they express support for any of these things.

Mary L. (Pat) Flynn, chairman of the county commissioners, very clearly said that any new entity would not be created with the snap of the commissioners’ collective fingers, stating:

“To make a decision to move forward, without any public discussion or without any public input on voting to recommend a regional plan that includes a taxing authority, at this time would not be very wise and I don’t think would show good leadership on our part.”

Mr. Gottlieb and Mr. Niedzwiecki told the commissioners that they would conduct a lengthy public process that would, maybe, yield a final recommendation from them by the end of 2012 — about the same time the two agencies expect to wrap up their work on a regional wastewater plan the two bodies have been working on “for a couple years now,” according to Mr. Niedzwiecki.

Many of the more controversial talking points being thrown about by opponents stem from elements of the debate within the special commission. At the special commission’s February 8 meeting, according to official meeting minutes, Mr. Gottlieb opined that:

A separate regional entity is needed to address wastewater issues, as individual town solutions would be less efficient, since estuaries are shared, and artificial town boundaries interfere and increase costs of addressing nitrogen‐loading. While inter‐municipal agreements could be possible, Mr. Gottlieb said they are seldom initiated, and the 15 towns have difference issues and funding resources that are not all equivalent. Elsewhere, he noted, wastewater facilities are regional, and the County role is needed here beyond the existing County structure.

Mr. Niedzwiecki chimed in on the funding issue, saying a “broad‐based funding source that would be fair to all” would be necessary to fund the operation of a regional entity, and that “in reviewing funding options, Mr. Niedzwiecki called betterments an inequitable and irresponsible approach, preferring the general tax levy as a better approach.”

In other words, instead of placing the burden on property owners through betterments, the cost would be spread across the region’s tax base so, in effect, all taxpayers would chip in.

At no point in the conversation was a recommendation made to have the entire region’s wastewater infrastructure tied into, as Mr. Beaty put it, “hugely expensive large scale centralized wastewater processing facilities.”

CONCLUSIONS

One fact is irrefutable: the Cape Cod Wastewater Authority/District does not exist. It has not been created, and based on the comments and plans outlined by various county officials, it will not exist at any point in 2012.

What form it will take in the end is at present a mystery. While it has been suggested — officially and on the record — that the authority be an independent entity run by an appointed board and funded by taxpayer money, all these are are suggestions — suggestions that are already being thoroughly scrutinized by skeptics, and will continue to be scrutinized as the county proceeds with its exploration of the concept. Nothing is a done deal.

Even if the “nightmare scenario” as presented by Mr. Beaty and Mr. Steinhilber of an autonomous, tax-funded entity that rules the Cape’s wastewater systems with an iron fist  is presented to residents, it will likely need legislation to become reality, possibly even a binding referendum question on the ballot, providing the public with additional opportunities to oppose the project if the final product is not to their liking.

Mr. Beaty and Mr. Steinhilber are turning the wastewater authority concept into their personal campaign boogeyman to scare voters, plying fears of costly taxpayer-funded government takeovers with no accountability in order to rally support. This may serve their respective immediate personal needs, but does Cape Codders no favors in the long run if they befuddle any attempts at honest debate.

Water quality management is perhaps one of the Cape’s most pressing issues, one that impacts individual towns and the region as a whole, and tackling this particular 800-pound gorilla requires thorough exploration, a healthy sense of skepticism from all parties, perhaps a few hard decisions, and most importantly, information based in fact, not fear.

The Importometer Reading For March 23, 2012

March 23rd, 2012 by Mike Bailey

10 ) Mitt Romney scores a solid win in Illinois, keeping alive the notion that the only thing consistent about Romney is his inconsistency.

9 ) At a Rick Santorum rally, Pastor Dennis Terry declares that anyone who doesn’t embrace the idea of a Christian America to “get out.” Just like Jesus said: my way or the highway! No, wait…that was Patrick Swayze in “Roadhouse.”

8 ) Supermarket chains being to purge the meat byproduct known as “pink slime” from its shelves. On behalf of McDonald’s, thank you for freeing up the supply.

7 ) The Mashpee Wampanoag Tribe options land in Taunton for their casino, and the town schedules a voter referendum for June. Great, another summertime town-wide vote. Maybe this time they won’t bake their population in an athletic field (that’s right, Middleboro, I haven’t forgotten or forgiven that experience).

6 ) Temps in Massachusetts hit 80. But yeah, climate change denialists, you keep right on claiming the science in bunk.

5 ) Newt Gingrich slams Robert DeNiro for his joke about America being ready for a “white First Lady,” claiming the actors’ remark “divides the country.” He then dismissed DeNiro as a wealthy elitist who “probably doesn’t notice the price of gas.” DeNiro then revealed he was getting into character to play Gingrich in a new movie.

4 ) “The Hunger Games” is poised for a killer opening weekend, and Fox News is poised to denounce it as a veiled liberal screed against capitalism. Don’t laugh; if Fox would go after the Muppets…

3 ) Speaking of which, the Muppets this week got a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame, giving fellow inanimate Hollywood mainstay Keanu Reeves hope he’ll someday joint them.

2 ) State Rep. Eugene O’Flaherty announces he will step down from his long-time position as House chair of the Judiciary Committee after getting dressed down in a Boston Globe editorial. Man, if politicians buckled every time the media got on their case, we wouldn’t need term limits.

1 ) Rumors claim “The Jersey Shore” star “The Situation” is in rehab. Wait, which part is the rumor? The rehab part or the part claiming The Situation is a star?

The Week In Politics – March 23, 2012

March 23rd, 2012 by Mike Bailey

Thomas F. Keyes is finally, at long last, 100 percent officially running for State Senate of the Plymouth and Barnstable District.

Mr. Keyes, a Sandwich Republican, ended months of not-so-subtle will-I-or-won’t-I hinting last weekend with a campaign kick-off event in Plymouth, setting up a rematch of his 2010 race against the incumbent, Senate President Therese M. Murray (D – Plymouth).

In his announcement speech, Mr. Keyes spoke of “a political climate that’s bursting at the seams with fresh scandals and abuses of the public trust” and “professional politicians with an insatiable lust for power and addiction to special interest money that holds back our state from reaching its full potential.”

Mr. Keyes also spoke about the need to bolster the economy and create jobs, and he undercut Sen. Murray’s claims that Massachusetts is doing well job-wise as its unemployment rate is 6.8 percent (actually 6.9 as of this month) by claiming that the “underemployment” was 8.9 percent, “the highest in the country.” He said the total “unemployment problem” – unemployed and underemployed workers combined – was 15.7 percent.

At this point, I’d like to provide some context for that statement because, yes, I’m the kind of guy who likes to fact-check politicians’ statements. Call me crazy.

Mr. Keyes is quoting a recent independent study that looked at workers’ potential based on their education and training as compared to their employment status. In this study, a person working one or more level below his level of qualification was considered underemployed.

Meanwhile, the US Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics defines an underemployed worker as someone who is willing and able to work full-time but work part-time for economic reasons (they had their hours cut or cannot find full-time work).

When underemployed workers as per the DoL’s standard are added to the number of unemployed workers, Nevada actually has the highest combined unemployment/underemployment rate at 22.7 percent. Massachusetts’ combined rate is 14.3 percent, which ties it for 33rd place with New York.

If you’re interested in reading a more in-depth analysis of Mr. Keyes’ claims and the numbers behind them, here you go.

All that said, I look forward to see what Mr. Keyes will proposed as fixes for these problems. As I say every election year, saying you’ll fix problems is the easy part. The hard part is telling us how you plan to do it.

***

Another Sandwich Republican is officially off and running. State Representative Randy Hunt (R – Sandwich) launched his re-election campaign last Wednesday.

His potential Democratic challenger, R. Patrick Ellis of Sandwich, will be holding his first campaign event next month at Hemisphere in Sandwich. More on that as details become available.

***

Want more Republicans making it official? Then add Eric R. Steinhilber of Barnstable to the list.

Mr. Steinhilber will officially kick off his campaign for Barnstable County Board of County Commissioners tomorrow with a 9 AM event at the VFW Post 2578 in Hyannis, located at 455 Iyanough Road (Route 28). That event will run until 10:30 AM and a light breakfast will be served.

Mr. Steinhilber makes for an excellent addition to this race, which also includes incumbents Mary L. (Pat) Flynn of Falmouth and Sheila R. Lyons of Wellfleet. Two seats on the board are available this year.

***

Still not satisfied? Have one more! Christopher Sheldon of Plymouth is all official-like in his run for the Republican nomination for Congress in the Ninth District. His launch event was Tuesday in his hometown, and so far he’s all alone in the Republican primary.

Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

Fact-Check Theater: Tom Keyes And Underemployment

March 20th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

Welcome to a new semi-regular feature here at Snark-Infested Waters, where I will occasionally look into claims made by candidates for office.

My goal is not to make any given candidate look good or bad (so kindly save your accusations of bias) but to provide context for statements made over the course of the campaign year. I welcome comments that confirm or refute my findings, and if you hear a politician saying something that sounds a bit suspect, let me know at bailey@capenews.net.

To christen this feature, I’ll start with a comment made by Thomas F. Keyes, the Sandwich Republican running against Senate President Therese M. Murray (D – Plymouth), at his campaign kick-off event this past weekend. He took a slightly different tack when addressing the old stand-by issues of economic and job growth:

“The incumbent says things are going well because unemployment is at 6.8 percent.  That’s nothing to be proud of.  Unfortunately, that figure doesn’t account for all of the people who are underemployed.  These are individuals who have had to take a lesser job or a job out of their field to make ends meet.  Right now, Massachusetts has an underemployment rate of 8.9%.  Let me say that again – it is 8.9 percent.  We are the highest in the nation.  When you combine underemployed and unemployed we have an employment problem of 15.7 percent.”

First, let’s put the unemployment issue into context. On March 8, the Massachusetts Executive Office of Labor and Workforce Development announced that as of January 2012, the unemployment rate in Massachusetts was 6.9 percent — slightly higher than the figure Mr. Keyes quoted, but that number has not changed from December 2011 and is the lowest rate since December 2008.

Combine that with the fact the national unemployment rate is currently 8.3 percent, and that Massachusetts is tied for the 16th lowest unemployment rate in the country, things look decent for Massachusetts — decent, but not fantastic.

Now we move on the the “underemployment” claim, and first we need to distinguish between the two definitions of “underemployment” in play here.

The figure Mr. Keyes quoted was from a New Jobs for Massachusetts/Chmura Economics and Analytics study from December 2011, which looked at workers’ potential based on their education and training and compares it to their employment status; a person working one or more level below his level of qualification is considered underemployed.

To provide a simplistic example: if a man with a master’s degree in his chosen field is working a job that only requires a bachelor’s degree, he is underemployed.

The report “does not reflect workers who could be considered underemployed because their salary has dropped more than 30% from its peak, or because they are supervising half or fewer of the people they used to supervise.” In other words, New Jobs for Massachusetts places more weight on what a worker could be doing based on their qualifications rather than their income.

Or the number of hours worked, and that is how the federal government defines underemployment. The US Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics defines underemployed Americans as people willing and able to work full-time but who work part-time for economic reasons (e.g., they had their hours cut or cannot find full-time work).

For the sake of comparison, we’ll look at the DoL’s “U-6″ standard for measuring unemployment, which includes the unemployed, the underemployed (as per its definition), and all “marginally attached workers,” a category that includes “discouraged workers”.

(Both marginally attached and discouraged workers are defined as people able and willing to work, and who have looked for a job within the preceding 12 months of the data collection but not within the preceding four weeks. The difference is that discouraged workers stopped looking for work specifically because they do not believe there is work available, while marginally attached workers cite any reason for giving up on their job hunting — a fine distinction that is not wholly relevant to this analysis, but is mentioned for sake of presenting complete information.)

According to the DoL, Nevada actually has the highest total unemployment/underemployment rate at 22.7 percent. Massachusetts’ unemployment/underemployment rate as per the U-6 measure is 14.3 percent, which ties it for 33rd place with New York — again, decent but not spectacular, but below Mr. Keyes’ quoted total “unemployment problem” of 15.7 percent.

A recent Gallup poll more closely matches the DoL’s definition for underemployed; Gallup considers someone underemployed if they were totally jobless or were working fewer than 30 hours a week but wanted to work full-time. Based on that criteria, Gallup claimed the national average underemployment rate for 2011 was 18 to 20.9 percent. Massachusetts’ underemployment rate was 15 to 17.9 percent, placing it in the low end of Gallup’s “average” range — a downgrade from 2010, when Massachusetts recorded a below-average underemployment rate.

Once again, by this yardstick Massachusetts is doing fairly well, but not great.

Mr. Keyes’ statement paints a grimmer picture than Sen. Murray’s, which is not surprising since he’s trying to portray the incumbent as ineffectual on job growth and thus bolster his own image, but is his measure a more accurate picture of the state’s job situation?

This depends entirely on whether you regard underemployment as a reflection of one’s job status in terms of full-time versus part-time, as per the DoL and Gallup, or in terms of qualified for A-list work but stuck in a B-list (or lower) job.

Either way, it could be reasonably inferred that an underemployed individual is making less than his full earning potential, and in a worst-case scenario, that means an individual is relying on some form of public assistance and not contributing as much to the very same tax base that supports such programs.

CONCLUSIONS

Massachusetts is faring well in a national context and certainly could be doing worse, but it could also be doing better. Economic recovery in the state is still very much a work-in-progress, but historical employment data is showing a steady, long-term trend toward reducing unemployment. We’re on the right track, certainly.

All three studies cited here are valid measures of underemployment, but they share a similar flaw: they do not go into detail about the economics of underemployment. There is no mention of how working below one’s capacity, whether that is measured in hours or credentials, affects one’s income, which plays into any number of related issues. How many underemployed people are resorting to public assistance to make ends meet? How many are able to pay their expenses but cannot indulge in discretionary spending? How many have been forced to simply adopt a less extravagant but perfectly adequate lifestyle? These are questions that deserve answers.

Mr. Keyes brings much-needed attention to the issue of the underemployed. Adding that data to the mix provides a more textured perspective on the state’s and the nation’s job market and efforts in job creation, but Mr. Keyes chose to present numbers that put Massachusetts — and by extension his opponent — in a worse light; two other valid measures indicate that Massachusetts is not as bad off as New Jobs for Massachusetts says it is.

If Mr. Keyes wishes to have an honest discussion about underemployment, he should consider multiple sources of data rather than just those with an immediate political benefit — and should he win the race and find himself in a position to address the issue, he will need to have a complete picture before him if he is going to find the best remedy. It’s in his best political interests and, potentially, the best interests of his constituents to look at all the data.

The Imporometer Reading For March 16, 2012

March 16th, 2012 by Mike Bailey

10 ) Rick Santorum wins two Deep South states after promising voters to take this country into the mid-Twentieth Century.

9 ) A mini-documentary about African warlord Joseph Kony gets millions of hits on YouTube, prompting journalists across the country to wonder how they too can bring such widespread attention to important issues. Well, for starters, you could start acting like journalistic integrity still means something.

8 ) Tensions in Afghanistan flare after a member of the US military allegedly goes on a civilian-killing spree. A spokesman for the Taliban releases the following statement: “Hey! Stop ripping us off! That’s OUR thing!”

7 ) Mitt Romney catches flack for his vow to get rid of Planned Parenthood by eliminating its federal funding. Don’t get too wound up, folks. Once he wins the nomination and has to pander to a wider audience, he’ll change his stance.

6 ) Catherine Grieg, Whitey Bulger’s accomplice and girlfriend, pleads guilty to helping the mobster avoid the law.

5 ) Former Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich heads off to jail, defiantly claiming that one day the truth will be known. We already know the truth, Blago: it’s a toupee.

4 ) “The Hunger Games” stands poised to make a killing at the box office (ha, see what I did there?).

3 ) An “American Idol” contestant gets the boot after his criminal background goes public. Man, the era of Johnny Cash is truly gone, isn’t it?

2 ) Gallagher suffers his second heart attack. You’d think a guy who spends his career swinging sledgehammers at watermelons would be in better cardiovascular shape.

1 ) The trailer for Tim Burton’s “Dark Shadows” film debuts.  Nothing says gothic romance like disco balls.

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