Snark-Infested Waters by Mike Bailey

Snark-Infested Waters by Mike Bailey

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Posts Tagged ‘William Keating’

The Week In Politics For January 27, 2012

Friday, January 27th, 2012

The race for the new Ninth Congressional District is heating up in earnest (sure glad something around here is warm).

This month alone Democrat C. Samuel Sutter, the Bristol County DA, has announced the formation of an exploratory committee and could challenge the de facto incumbent William R. Keating (D) for the primary nomination; and non-party candidate Peter A. White of Mashpee announced he was abandoning his bid for US Senate to run for the Ninth.

Now let’s welcome to the race our first official Republican, Christopher Sheldon of Plymouth, businessman and member of the Plymouth County Charter Study Commission. This is, according to his official bio, his first run for public office, but he has served as a campaign manager for MaryAnne Lewis, who ran as a non-party candidate for the soon-to-be-retired 10th Congressional District in 2010.

“Like many from the South Shore, South Coast, Cape and Islands, I am very concerned about the direction of our country, and especially our economy,” Mr. Sheldon said in a press release announcing his candidacy. “I believe in the American dream and I believe that, if we start now, there is still time to get our nation back on track.”

Mr. Sheldon is pitching the “we need new blood” angle and calling for an ouster of the career politicians in Washington, as well as an end to partisan bickering — two points I can totally get behind, personally.

The candidate plans to formally kick off his campaign on March 20.

***

Republican Thomas F. Keyes, the not-quite-official candidate for State Senate of the Plymouth and Barnstable District, is holding a meet-and-greet on Sunday, February 4. That will be held at the Trowbridge Tavern & Canal Club in Bourne from 7 to 9 PM.

The evening will feature the music of Andrew Botieri and a silent auction to benefit Mr. Keyes’ campaign. Donations of any amount are also welcome.

To RSVP or for more information, call Agatha Bodwell at 774-208-3480 or e-mail her at events@votekeyes.com.

(PS: Tom. Dude. It’s pretty obvious you’re running again. Make a formal announcement already.)

***

Regardless of what anyone thinks of either US Senator Scott P. Brown (R) or Democrat Elizabeth Warren, you have to appreciate their willingness to play fair…or, at least, as fair as you can in the political world.

This week Sen. Brown and Ms. Warren signed onto a pledge to actively condemn any negative ad campaigns funded by third-party sources, and to personally shoulder the penalty for an infraction by an outside organization. Each candidate has promised to donate to charity 50 percent of the cost of any third-party ad that explicitly supports their own candidacy or attacks their opponent by name.

Sadly, there’s one potentially crippling flaw in this pledge: the political action committees (PACs) responsible for the mudslinging ads don’t have to honor it; legally, the candidates have no control over these PACs or the ads they put out, so don’t be surprised if the overall negativity does not subside to any appreciable degree.

Ironic postscript: as I was writing this, the pro-Republican PAC American Crossroads (Karl Rove’s group) sent me an e-mail claiming that all the loopholes in the agreement are totally Warren’s fault. Way to embrace the message, guys.

Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

The Week In Politics – January 13, 2012

Friday, January 13th, 2012

Senate President Therese M. Murray (D-Plymouth) confirmed this week to the Enterprise that she will be running for reelection this year.

Sen. Murray is currently in her ninth term of office and her second term as Senate President. While the “formal” campaign announcement is forthcoming, she said Wednesday during an interview with this here column-writing guy her campaign planning has already begun.

Right now the only not-officially-confirmed challenger on the horizon is Republican Thomas F. Keyes of Sandwich, who narrowly lost to Sen. Murray in 2010.

***

State Representative Randy Hunt (R – Sandwich) is off and running on his re-election campaign.

His first fundraiser is later this month, January 27, in the Emerald Room of the Cape Codder Resort and Spa in Hyannis. Stephen Bjork headlines the comedy night fundraiser, which comes with no suggested donation – which does not mean Rep. Hunt wouldn’t mind you dropping a little something in his campaign war chest.

Donate ahead of time and get primo seats at the event. You can send a check made payable to “Committee to Elect Randy Hunt” and mail it to his new district office at 297 Quaker Meeting House Road, East Sandwich, MA 02537.

If you don’t feel like giving the post office some business, you can also make a donation online.

***

Bristol County DA C. Samuel Sutter could be getting ready to challenge Congressman William R. Keating (D) for the Ninth Congressional District.

Mr. Sutter was mentioned as a possible contender soon after Massachusetts finished redrawing its Congressional district maps for 2012, and this week he formed an exploratory committee, a typical first step for someone considering a high-level elected office.

If he pulls the trigger, Mr. Sutter would face Rep. Keating in the primary election as they’re both Democrats. So far, no potential Republican challengers have emerged.

***

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Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

The Week In Politics For January 6, 2012

Friday, January 6th, 2012

Great googily-moogily, is it that time already? Yes it is!

For new readers, welcome to the Enterprise’s regular dose of news briefs and witty(ish) commentary on Campaign 2012. In this column, I’ll post candidacy announcements, campaign event information, little newsy odds and ends that amuse me, and pepper it all with snarky wisecracks and obscure pop-culture references.

The focus here will be on the local races, so let’s start with an overview of those who are already in the game for this election cycle.

One of the big contests for Massachusetts will be for the US Senate seat currently held by Scott P. Brown (R), who was chosen in a 2010 special election to succeed the late Edward M. Kennedy. Sen. Brown is planning to seek a full term, and as early as it is, it’s almost guaranteed he’ll be facing Elizabeth Warren in November.

The Harvard law professor and adviser to the Obama administration has already managed to rack up a small body count of would-be primary opponents, including Newton mayor Setti Warren (no relation), City Year founder and 2010 US Senate candidate Alan A. Khazei, and State Representative Thomas P. Conroy (D – Wayland). They all dropped out because Ms. Warren is the Democratic Party’s darling in the race, so she’s getting all the party support (and money), making their continued participation no longer viable.

However, attorneys Marisa DeFranco and James C. King are (as of this writing) still in the running, as is non-party candidate Peter A. White of Mashpee, who is making his third run for federal office; he ran against then-Congressman William D. Delahunt in 2006 and ran a partial race for the 10th Congressional District seat in 2010, dropping out part-way through.

Speaking of Congress, William R. Keating (D) has announced that he will make his long-time second home of Bourne his formal address so he can run for the Ninth Congressional District. Rep. Keating was elected to the 10th district in 2010, but the 10th was eliminated as part of the decennial redistricting process, so the Cape and Islands was rolled into the new Ninth District.

No one else has formally announced their candidacy for the Ninth, but when you combine a first-term legislator with a reconfigured district with the general hurly-burly of a presidential election year, expect a large field of candidates for this race to develop soon.

At the state level, Senate President Therese M. Murray (D – Plymouth) and State Senator Daniel A. Wolf (D – Harwich) have both announced they will run for re-election.

Although a formal announcement has not yet been made, it looks like Republican Thomas F. Keyes will throw down against Sen. Murray once again. He lost a tight race to Sen. Murray in 2010, and over the past year Mr. Keyes has issued semi-regular press releases criticizing Sen. Murray’s major decisions and has continued to raise money.

As of this week, State Representative Randy Hunt (R – Sandwich) is the only one of the Cape’s six House members to formally announce a re-election bid. I predict we’ll have a full slate of incumbents, so the interesting part will be waiting to see who pops up to challenge them.

There could be quite a bit of action on the county level this year. County Commissioners Sheila R. Lyons and Mary L. (Pat) Flynn are both up for re-election, as are Register of Deeds John F. (Jack) Meade, Clerk of Courts Scott W. Nickerson, and the 15 seats on the Barnstable County Assembly of Delegates.

If anyone has any interest in running for public office, nomination papers will be available by February 14. Go to the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth – Elections Division website for a full 2012 election year calendar detailing the key deadlines for candidates.

Political news and announcements may be e-mailed to Michael Bailey, senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net.

The Week In Politics – Dec. 16, 2012

Friday, December 16th, 2011

You heard it here first: Daniel A. Wolf (D – Harwich), state senator of the Cape & Islands district, will run for re-election in 2012.

Sen. Wolf made that official this week during a phone interview with the Enterprise (by which I mean me). He’s had a good first year in office, and if he can keep it up through 2012 he will be a tough man to beat.

***

Who is Ronald Beaty Jr. and why is he so interested in county government all of a sudden?

We might find out more as the local election cycle powers up, but for now Beaty is a good reason to scratch your head and say “Huh?”

The West Barnstable man has become a man of letters, so to speak, over the past month, speaking out about Barnstable County government issues. Earlier this month he wrote to the Enterprise exhorting a special commission charged with studying and, if appropriate, submitting recommendations for changes to the county governmental structure to leave things as they were.

Okay, so far, so benign. Then Beaty wrote a second letter berating the same county officials he had previously praised for failing to fill the very minor position of county clerk. The post has been vacant since Scott Nickerson, who is also the county clerk of courts, resigned to focus on his court duties (and, perhaps, in response to a noteworthy bungle in his office regarding five candidates for the Barnstable County Assembly of Delegates, whose nomination paperwork was not processed properly).

The county clerk has few responsibilities, but Beaty called the vacancy a “major problem” and the need to fill it an “urgent matter.” Okay, maybe overstating things here, but nothing controversial.

Then I got a copy of an e-mail that I present in its entirety:

It seems a bit “ironic” that County Commissioner Bill Doherty should advise and encourage a man with “my background” to run for election next year for one of the Barnstable County Commissioner seats.  After all, a little over 20 years ago (1991) I was arrested, convicted and sentenced by federal authorities for threatening various elected public officials, including the President of the United States. I will have to reflect long and hard about Bill Doherty’s proposal. I shall seek advice, feedback and counsel from family, friends, and the public at large before any firm decision can be made.  Perhaps after twenty years, it is also about time that I finally ask for formal “forgiveness” from the federal government as well. With that in mind, I will be seeking a Presidential pardon from President Barack Obama relative to the previously mentioned legal issues…

HubbaWHAH?!

First of all, what’s up with all the unnecessary quotation marks?

Second, here’s the deal: Beaty filed a letter of interest for a vacancy on the Barnstable County Human Rights Commission. Bill Doherty, sitting chairman of the county commissioners, saw it and (according to copies of e-mails Beaty received from Doherty and sent to me for some reason) remarked:

Now that I read your resume I must tell you that I have a greater reason to support the possibility of your candidacy for public office…The fact that you have a background in civil rights issues and want to continue that by joining the HRC says to me you already have two of the qualifications for public office (in my opinion) Intelligence and a good heart. The third is an ability to work hard. Think about it if not the county the town there is so much need for new and younger people at all levels.

There’s no indication that Doherty was aware of Beaty’s criminal background, which is this: according to several stories I found online (including two Beaty himself provided links to), in 1991 Beaty was convicted of sending threatening letters to President George H. W. Bush, Ted Kennedy, and then-State Senator Lois Pines (he also made threats against his then-wife, but he doesn’t mention those in his e-mail) and spent time in prison for it. As you can see, Beaty is not hiding this fact.

In Beaty we have, in a microcosm, a lot of the challenges that have become so commonplace in politics. Here is a man who was convicted of some pretty serious crimes, but did his time and has by all accounts stayed out of trouble for a considerable period of time. What has greater weight: the severity of his acts, or the life he has led since? Is 20 years enough time to erase what is either a terrible lapse in judgment or a sign of an unstable and violence-prone personality?

As is too often the case, partisan politics could play a role. To use the late Ted Kennedy as a somewhat ironic example, his foes never forgave him for Chappaquiddick, while his supporters were quick to dismiss that dark chapter in Kennedy’s life as ancient history. Right now, Newt Gingrich’s boosters are turning a blind eye to his infidelity, but a lot of those same people would wag a damning finger at Bill Clinton for his sexual shenanigans.

One thing’s for sure: if this guy runs, I’m going to have some interesting things to write about next year.

***

Tom Conroy, we hardly knew ye.

The Democratic candidate for US Senate has withdrawn from the race, citing (and boy, have we seen a lot of this lately) his inability to compete against front-runner and candidate apparent Elizabeth Warren, who has a ton of money and the party’s blessing.

Those same factors have previously shoved Setti Warren and Alan Khazei out of the race prematurely — by which I mean LONG before any of us pesky voters get our say on the matter.

***

Speaking of early dropouts, Thomas Hodgson, Bristol County sheriff, announced this week he is not going to run for Congress after all. Sheriff Hodgson had been toying with the idea of running in the Fourth or Ninth District, also known as, respectively, Barney Frank’s (D) soon-to-be-former district and William R. Keating’s (D) soon-to-be-new district, but decided to stay put.

The Week In Politics – November 18, 2011

Friday, November 18th, 2011

It looks like people are already eyeballing Congressman William R. Keating’s (D) seat for 2012.

The Legislature this week approved the revised Congressional districts, which eliminates Rep. Keating’s 10th District and, with some revisions to its borders, replaces it with the Ninth District. Keating already plans to run for re-election, and a handful of potential challengers has already emerged, including Bristol County’s DA Sam Sutter and former State Senator Robert A. O’Leary on the Democratic side, and Bristol County Sheriff Tom Hodgson on the Republican side.

Jeff Perry, the former Republican state rep who ran against (and lost to) Keating last year, said he is not planning on a re-match in 2012, and that’s not at all surprising. As you might recall, Perry was roasted over an open fire because of his past relationship with a disgraced Wareham cop, and I can’t imagine he’d want to go through that again — because it’s pretty much a guarantee that the folks who ground their axes down to nubs last year would buy brand-new axes to grind next year.

The Week In Politics – November 11, 2011

Friday, November 11th, 2011

The Sandwich Republican Town Committee invites the public to attend its upcoming “Pancakes & Politics” fundraiser at the Sandwich American Legion hall (20 Main Street, Sandwich). The event is scheduled for Saturday, November 19 from 8 AM to 10:30 AM.

The morning will feature a presidential straw poll and a presentation honoring committeeman, activist, and past candidate Chris Fava.

Proceeds will be split between the SRTC’s scholarship fund and Republican candidates running in 2012.

***

On Monday, the Joint Legislative Committee on Redistricting released its proposed new Congressional district map, and we are now poised for some serious fun next year.

Go check out the map here and you’ll see that the current 10th Congressional District has, for all intents and purposes, been re-labeled as the Ninth District (you’ll Massachusetts lost one of our 10 districts), and its boundaries have been pushed farther west and south while its northern boundaries have been pulled back. As a result the town of Quincy — home of Congressman William R. Keating (D) — is no longer in the district.

But that won’t last long. In order to keep representing the Cape and Islands (and avoid a primary showdown with Congressman Stephen F. Lynch (D) — whose current Ninth District will become the new Seventh District, which will encompass Quincy), Rep. Keating plans to make his Bourne home of 17 years his primary residence.

So the next question is: who might emerge in 2012 to challenge Keating?

Expect to see a lot of interest from the GOP in this seat in 2012. As a freshman lawmaker Keating will be more vulnerable than an entrenched incumbent, plus he’ll be a brand-new face for folks in the New Bedford area AND it’s a Presidential election year, which means there’s going to be a big push by the Republicans to get as many Dems out of office as possible.

Yes, because one-party rule is always such a good thing.

***

So. The Herman Cain thing.

Cain has a chance to come out of this thing — well, not unscathed, but looking better than he does now, but he blew that the minute he outright denied the whole thing every happened, then went on to have increasingly specific memories about what happened. Had he laid his cards on the table and divulged everything instead of, in order, lying, dissembling, shutting down, and finally trying to shift the blame onto the media (also called “The Palin”), he might have been seen as a man who confronts adversity and addresses it with quiet dignity — a president in the making — instead of, well, a slimy politician.

His recent cries of foul play by the media are especially laughable. He jumped into the biggest shark tank in the country by announcing a presidential run, and it’s either arrogance or naivete on his part to assume that he would never come under the media’s microscope — particularly when he, against all reason, pulled ahead in the polls. It happened with Michele Bachmann, it happened to Rick Perry, and now it’s Cain’s turn.

At this stage in the game, Cain’s best escape plan is to hope something about his accusers emerges that shatter their credibility so completely that Cain starts to look like the victim, but as far as I’m concerned, Cain revealed his true colors by failing to meet this challenge head-on. I wasn’t behind the guy to begin with — his “999″ tax plan is vague and flawed, and his stance on social issues is myopic and regressive — but his response has showed me the man is absolutely not presidential.

PS: For any readers getting ready to respond with, “Yeah, well, what Bill Clinton did in office…” or some similar, let’s be clear: what Clinton did was scummy and beneath the office of the president. Had he been accused of such behavior during an election phase, he should have been roundly roasted over an open media fire. Crummy behavior transcends political ideology, folks.

The Week In Politics – October 27

Thursday, October 27th, 2011

That’s right, people — I’m back, baby!

Well, sort of. The print edition of this column is still a ways off — it’ll probably debut in January — but there’s enough going on that I felt compelled to resurrect the column early as an online-only dealie.

Quick aside: this blog’s guts are a bit befouled at present, so trying to comment will lead only to frustration and heartbreak. If you feel the need to chew me out for anything, you can e-mail me at bailey at capenews dot net (sorry to spell it out, but man, the spambots have it out for me lately).

The development that really inspired my early return to whinging about politics is this week’s development with Alan Khazei, who on Wednesday dropped out of the US Senate race, citing an inability to raise money and gather support now that the Democratic Party has embraced Elizabeth Warren as its official horse in the race.

Alan. Dude. Has the Presidential race taught you nothing? A couple months ago, Rick Perry entered the Presidential race and everyone went “Michele who?” Now look at him! He’s running third in most polls behind Mitt Romney and Herman freakin’ Cain — and Herman is kind of crazy! Warren still has plenty of time to say or do something insane and give you a shot at overtaking her!

She’s already dipping her toe into that pool with a recent comment to The Daily Beast that she “created much of the intellectual foundation for what” Occupy Wall Street and its spinoffs are doing now. She’s since backtracked on that remark, so she’s obviously mastered the necessary campaigning skill of saying something rather outrageous and/or self-aggrandizing and then nimbly backpedaling when someone calls her on it.

But, to my intended original point: Khazei was the most promising candidate in the field beside Warren, who really needs someone to run her through the paces, if nothing else. There are four other Democrats that I know of who are still in the race — Tom Conroy, Marisa DeFranco, Jim King, and Herb Robinson — and I’m betting you haven’t heard of ANY of them.

And chances are you will continue to hear nothing about them, because the media, like the Democratic Party, is currently latched onto Warren, and now that Khazei — who had a degree of name recognition — is gone, it’s going to be All-Warren All The Time until after the September primary.

Anyone remember what happened the last time the Dems named an heir apparent to the Senate seat and left that candidate to cruise to an “easy victory”? The Democratic Party apparently doesn’t. Party leaders should have at the very least given Khazei enough support to keep him active through the primary so we the voters — remember us? We (ostensibly) choose elected officials — could see who the better candidate truly was.

***

Speaking of denying voters choice, it was also announced yesterday that longtime Congressman John Olver (D) is retiring, freeing up the race for the First Congressional District — and, perhaps more notably, giving the special joint legislative committee on redistricting every excuse in the world to let the First District take the big hit so the committee can, for the most part, maintain the existing boundaries for the other eight Congressional districts.

You see, when Massachusetts lost a district following the 2010 Census, there was a lot of concern that redrawing district lines would end up pitting two incumbent Democrats against one another in the primary race, and there was heavy speculation that the 10th Congressional District (which includes the Cape and Islands) would be eliminated and its towns folded into the Fourth or Ninth Districts — potentially setting up a contest between freshman Congressman William R. Keating and, respectively, Barney Frank or Stephen Lynch.

But now that Olver is out of the picture, the committee can carefully redraw the district boundaries to avoid any hot Dem-on-Dem action in September. Convenient, isnt it?

***

On a more local note: while there has not yet been an official announcement, there’s every indication that Republican Thomas F. Keyes is planning to challenge Senate President Therese M. Murray (D) in 2012. Keyes lost to Murray in 2010 in a surprisingly tight race: 52.5 percent of voters in the Plymouth and Barnstable District sided with the eight-term incumbent Murray, and 47.5 percent voted for Keyes, making this Murray’s tightest re-election race ever.

After the 2010 election, people on Keyes’ e-mail list (including me) continued to receive e-mails from the campaign, in which Keyes was referred to as the man “who is seriously considering” a rematch in 2012. The e-mails started out as stock rebuttals to everything Murray did (“Keyes Disappointed Murray Refuses To Create An Independent Commission On Redistricting” read one early notice), but soon turned into rally and fundraiser announcements. Once you start raising money, I think it’s safe to say you’re no longer merely “considering” running for office — especially when, according to a mid-year finance report filed with the Massachusetts Office of Campaign and Political Finance, you’ve raised a little over $11,000 over the first six months of 2011.

The question is not whether Keyes is running, the question is: can he effectively run against Murray on his own? Last year Keyes’ campaign ran concurrently to those of two strong candidates — State Representative Randy Hunt (R – Sandwich) and Jeffrey D. Perry, who ran unsuccessfully for Congress — and Keyes’ detractors insisted the only reason he made as good a showing as he did was because he hitched his faint star to two much brighter and, in Perry’s case, more high-profile wagons.

An upset victory is certainly not out of the question, but Murray’s undeniable clout has benefited the region for many years, and that’s going to be a hard thing for voters to give up in favor of a man with no clout, few connections in the State House, and little political experience beyond the town and county level.

***

Finally, we bid a fond farewell to State Representative Susan D. Williams Gifford (R – Wareham), whose Second Plymouth District has been shifted completely off Cape Cod due to the aforementioned redistricting. She represented three precincts in Bourne, which will now be divvied up between Hunt and State Representative David T. Vieira (R – Falmouth).

While the Cape delegation is losing one of its number, Gifford had a minimal presence on Cape Cod, so I expect her loss to be negligible. I very rarely saw her at any major event attended by the other members of the delegation, and I’ve on occasion heard some critical remarks about her non-attendance from a couple of her colleagues.

The Week In Politics

Friday, November 5th, 2010

Welcome, ladies and gents, to the final column for the 2010 election season.

I would have to say the big news for this week is State Representative Jeffrey D. Perry’s (R – Sandwich) loss to William R. Keating in the Congressional race. It was a long, hard, and very ugly fight, and Rep. Perry lost by a mere five-point margin.

The Perry haters, who have fanatically railed about his past controversies, are no doubt doing a happy dance this morning, but I’d have to question how much of that issue actually played into the loss. Let’s not forget that Massachusetts, despite its majority of unenrolled voters, still leans left, and Rep. Perry was espousing unabashedly hard right-wing values. It’s just as likely voters were turned off by his heavily partisan message as they were his background.

Then there is the Tale of Two Patricks, Deval and Matt. Governor Deval L. Patrick also won a rather tight race, besting Republican Charles D. Baker Jr. by a seven-point margin. Mr. Baker tried to convince voters Gov. Patrick was taking the state in the wrong direction, but recent signs of economic turnaround undermined that message.

It didn’t help that Baker’s campaign never hit high gear. He was active, but somewhere along the way his momentum faltered and he failed to make that final big push in the closing days.

The other Patrick, State Representative Matthew C. Patrick (D – Falmouth), was one of the precious few exceptions to the Democratic rule this year. Rep. Patrick lost his re-election bid to Republican David T. Vieira, the man who Rep. Patrick beat in his first bid for the office in 2000.

So what happened there? Hard to say. Maybe Rep. Patrick’s support of the Cape Wind project finally caught up to him. Maybe voters sensed that he’d lost his influence in the State House following his falling out with Speaker Robert A. DeLeo (R – Winthrop). Maybe voters didn’t care for his increasingly stinging criticism of the GOP and wanted someone a little more cooperative.

In any event, the loss of an incumbent always means a bit of a step back for a district since there’s a learning curve and settling-in period for the new guy, but hopefully Mr. Vieira will find his stride sooner rather than later. He’s got the potential to be a great state rep.

As a point of amusement, I’m tickled that Charles O. Cipollini won the race for governor’s council of the first district. As regular readers know, Charles was running a non-campaign for the seat against his younger brother, Oliver P. Cipollini of Marstons Mills, and said very publicly that he wanted Oliver to win.

And yet, Charles won. Why? My theory is simple: no one knows jack about the position (or cares) so they just voted for the first name on the list of candidates. I firmly believe that’s what Oliver won the Democratic primary in the first place: his name was at the top of the list.

For more details and candidate reaction, check out the story in the front section of this week’s Enterprise.

***

Personally, I’m very grateful this whole election thing is done with for a while. This has been an exhausting year, not only due to the effective length of the campaign – a few folks declared their candidacies last summer – but because of the rampant negativity that has been inflicted on voters.

The races for governor and the 10th Congressional District have been particularly nasty as national organizations representing the Big Two Parties dumped millions into advertising, ostensibly to promote their respective candidates, but really their motivations are more self-serving: the Democrats want to hold on to their precarious majority rule, the Republicans want to wrench it away.

Thanks for thinking of the American public first, guys.

Voters, regardless of whether your candidate won or lost, your job is not over. You still have a responsibility to be involved in the process, and you can do that by reaching out to your elected officials and letting them know how you feel on the issues.

Don’t write them, don’t e-mail them, CALL them (we’ll help you by continuing to post their contact info in the Beacon Hill Roll Call report). Tell them who you are and what you want out of the next two years. If an issue of particular concern pops up, call them and let them know how you feel about it.

In short: pester the hell out of them. Drive them nuts. Make your name a Pavlovian trigger that causes them to roll their eyes and grumble, “This guy again…” It’s civic-minded, it’s occasionally productive, and yeah, it’s sometimes a lot of fun.

***

I leave you all with a handy household hint, for removing those bumper stickers from your car: soak them in vegetable oil. Let the oil sink in and you should be able to pull the stickers off fairly easily.

Catch you all in 2012, and in the meantime you can get your semi-regular dose of commentary, sarcasm, and obscure pop-culture references at this here blog thing o’ mine.

Election Day!

Tuesday, November 2nd, 2010

Hidely-ho, voterinos!

So, here we are. For the next several hours, voters will hit the polls (hopefully in appreciable numbers), and then this evening we all play the waiting game to see who won, who lost, and who will be dragging this mess out for several more weeks with recounts and court challenges.

Around here the big race is, of course, for US Representative of the 10th Congressional District. Who will win? I honestly can’t make a call, but here’s one scenario to consider: moderate and left-leaning unenrolled voters look at Bill Keating and see a guy who more or less represents their own stances on the issues, but has disenchanted voters with his relentlessly negative campaign (and maybe the fact he moved into the district specifically to run for this seat).

Does this drive them all to State Representative Jeffrey D. Perry (R – Sandwich)? Not necessarily. Many are unsatisfied with the answers he’s given to his various controversies, and besides, his very conservative views don’t jibe with voters’ opinions, so the liberally inclined and some of the moderates float over to MaryAnne Lewis, who is close to their own political viewpoints and has run a clean campaign.

The result? Perry has the Republican block sewed up, Keating likewise with the Democrats, but Lewis steals unenrolled voters away from Keating, allowing Perry to score a victory — not a landslide or even a “clear voter mandate” win, but enough of a victory to prevent Keating from challenging the outcome.

The there’s the governor’s race, and my hunch is that we’ve got four more years of Deval Patrick ahead of us, and I say this as a guy who, for most of Patrick’s administration, was ready to dump the guy.

I want to say Charlie Baker will pull off a win, because I’m cool with the idea of a fiscally conservative/socially moderate Republican in the Corner Office to balance what I’m sure will remain a Democrat-controlled State House, but Baker just never lived up to my expectations. His campaign never felt like it hit high gear, his ideas (which were decent, if not especially noteworthy) got buried under all the sniping between him and Patrick, and — like it or not — the state has shown positive steps forward in terms of economic recovery over the past several months.

There’s still a ton of work to do to get the state back on its feet, but it’s heading in the right direction, slowly but surely, and I personally am disinclined to switch horses midstream.

There are a few races I’d qualify as slam-dunks for the incumbents: I fully expect Senate President Therese M. Murray (D – Plymouth), State Representative Susan D. Williams Gifford (R – Wareham), AG Martha Coakley, and Secretary of the Commonwealth William Galvin to all be returned to office by wide margins.

The Week In Politics

Friday, October 22nd, 2010

Last week Cape Cod Community College held one of the last (if not the last) major debate among all five Congressional candidates, and somehow the night managed to avoid turning ugly, as have so many other debates.

Not only did the audience refrain from hooting, hollering, cheering, and jeering, but the candidates themselves were completely civil – and by “candidates” I mean State Representative Jeffrey D. Perry (R – Sandwich) and Democrat William R. Keating, who have sniped at each other almost relentlessly since the primary race wrapped.

I won’t go so far as to declare any kind of winner, but Mr. Keating, Rep. Perry, and unenrolled candidate MaryAnne Lewis came across as solid candidates. Perry especially stayed on-topic and always answered the questions as posed to the panel, but Keating and Lewis came across as well-informed and were able to articulate their thoughts.

Then there was unenrolled candidates James A. Sheets and Joseph van Nes. Sheets seemed to spend as much time taking potshots at the Democrats as he did discussing the issues. Several times during the evening they went badly off-topic and often failed to directly answer questions, and at times van Nes’s lack of knowledge on a given topic was glaring.

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Another note on the Congressional race: a WGBH poll of 400 voters showed that Rep. Perry held a narrow one-point lead over Mr. Keating – 41 percent support to 40 percent – but when voters who are still waffling were asked who they were leaned toward, Keating pulled ahead and took a three-point lead over Perry (46 percent to 43 percent).

On the fundraising front, Mr. Keating is closing in on the $1 million mark, much of that money coming from unions, while Rep. Perry has raised more than $800,000. Ms. Lewis has raised about $57,000, Mr. Sheets has raised about $8,500 according to unofficial sources (he failed to file a report with the Federal Election Commission by the most recent deadline), and Mr. van Nes has not raised enough money to warrant filing a report.

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When Charles D. Baker Jr. first hit the scene, there was an air of promise around this fiscally conservative but socially moderate candidate. Governor Deval L. Patrick was not faring well in the court of public opinion and was a prime target for a well-coordinated, focused campaign from the former high muckety-muck of Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare.

Over the summer and into the fall Mr. Baker made slow but steady progress on Gov. Patrick, and every month the voter polls showed the Republican challenger was gaining ground on the incumbent. Now the governor appears to be pulling away again.

The latest Suffolk University/WHDH-TV poll of 500 voters revealed that Gov. Patrick was the preferred candidate, receiving 46 percent support to Mr. Baker’s 39 percent. Baker’s numbers are up five points from the September poll, but so are Gov. Patrick’s.

Dr. Jill E. Stein has lost what little support she had; last month four percent of voters backed her, now she’s down to one percent. Two percent of voters have made up their minds, leaving the “undecided” category.

And, not surprisingly, some of those voters came from Timothy P. Cahill’s base; his support dropped four points from September, to 10 percent.

While several voters said they would vote for Baker if Cahill were to vanish from the ballot, one in four said the whole debacle between Baker and Cahill involving turncoat running mate Paul Loscocco and several staffers who may or may not have been GOP moles, is driving them to the Patrick camp.

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James H. Crocker Jr. is back on the campaign trail after helping his family deal with the loss of his in-laws.

Mr. Crocker, the Republican candidate for State Senator of the Cape and Islands District, briefly suspended his campaign last week after his in-laws were killed in a car crash.

His opponent, Democrat Daniel A. Wolf, gracefully limited his own campaign work during that period out of respect for Mr. Crocker instead of pouncing on the opportunity to glom all the attention for himself.

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Patricia L. Mosca of Bourne, the lone woman in the Democratic primary race for governor’s councilor of the first district, is back to try again. She has announced she will be challenging the brothers Cipollini – Democrat Oliver and Republican Charles – as a write-in candidate.

I normally am not a write-in candidate fan, but considering that this is such a non-race – Charles has said quite clearly he wants his brother to win – I applaud Ms. Mosca for wanting to make Oliver C. actually work for this gig.

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And now for the endorsement lightning round!

Thomas F. Reilly, the state’s former attorney general, has jumped party lines to endorse Mr. Baker for governor (delayed revenge for Gov. Patrick trouncing him in the 2006 primary?).

Congressman William D. Delahunt (D) has endorsed State Representative Matthew C. Patrick (D – Falmouth) in his re-election bid.

Rep. Perry was endorsed by the US Chamber of Commerce and the National Federation of Independent Business.

F. Randal Hunt, Republican candidate for State Representative of the Fifth Barnstable District, received an endorsement from Citizens for Limited Taxation.

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This week’s event reminders:

The Committee to Elect Therese Murray and Olive and Dave Chase are hosting a fundraiser this evening for Senate President Therese M. Murray (D – Plymouth) at the Sandwich Glass Museum from 6 to 7:30 PM. Suggested donation for both events is $50 per person.

Mr. Hunt is holding his final campaign fundraiser tomorrow at the East Sandwich Grange Hall. The Tony Lujan Quintet will perform.

Lance W. Lambros, Democratic candidate for State Representative of the Fifth Barnstable District, will be holding a (not quite) Halloween  meet-and-greet at the Grundman household on Wing Boulevard East in Sandwich. That’s happening tomorrow from 5 to 7:30 PM.

Desperados in Mashpee will on Monday hold a “meet the candidates” night from 5 to 7 PM. That will feature candidates for the Legislature who represent Mashpee.

James M. Cummings, Barnstable County Sheriff, is hosting a fundraiser for Rep. Perry on Wednesday. That’s at the Hyannis Conference Center from 5 to 7 PM.

Political news and announcements may be sent to Michael Bailey, Region editor and senior political reporter, at bailey@capenews.net

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